Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

448.86 – 452.22

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

512 – 359

Prediction missed · off by 78.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 693.9 ±9.3

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 41.66Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 237.72Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 169.48Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 542.1 ±9.8

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 196.27Rank 5Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 70.69Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 185.26Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2876, 88, 5000

/ 100 compat

Projected

448.9 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2876, 88, 5000

Auto

90.2 21%

Teleop

265.2 60%

Endgame

83.9 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1153, 4761, 2877

/ 100 compat

Projected

452.2 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1153, 4761, 2877

Auto

63.2 14%

Teleop

272.1 59%

Endgame

125.4 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score448.9pts

Blue projected score452.2pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 28%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.4
Score range: 387–514
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 871 vs event baseline 343.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

693.9Season APEX542.1

90.2Auto63.2

265.2Teleop272.1

83.9Endgame125.4

74Consistency103

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	125	57
teleop	227	187
endgame	145	115
foul	15	0
total	512	359

Result

Final score

512 – 359

Prediction missed · off by 78.2 pts