Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

640.58 – 350.61

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

520 – 375

Prediction correct · off by 72.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 749.1 ±10.2

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 337.08Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 31.61Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 271.89Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 571.3 ±8.8

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 59.61Rank 18Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 124.71Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 166.29Rank 7Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6328, 8626, 125

/ 100 compat

Projected

640.6 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6328, 8626, 125

Auto

138.0 22%

Teleop

375.6 59%

Endgame

122.3 19%

Strengths

· 6328 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4905, 4909, 9644

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.6 pts

~0.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4905, 4909, 9644

Auto

73.5 22%

Teleop

175.5 52%

Endgame

91.4 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.55 · Blue 0.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score640.6pts

Blue projected score350.6pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 290
Score range: 290–702
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 895 vs event baseline 340.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

749.1Season APEX571.3

138Auto73.5

375.6Teleop175.5

122.3Endgame91.4

55Consistency60

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	183	95
teleop	276	166
endgame	61	64
foul	0	50
total	520	375

Result

Final score

520 – 375

Prediction correct · off by 72.5 pts