Playoff · Playoff Match 5 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

89.69 – 345.66

4%96%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

102 – 342

Prediction correct · off by 8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 455.4 ±9.8

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 17.08Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 22.89Rank 16Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 49.72Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 504.5 ±9.8

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 10.26Rank 25Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10254Regal Seagulls

Season APEX 269Event APEX 206.11Rank 8Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8013Boston Lions

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 129.29Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6201, 5422, 5962

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.7 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6201, 5422, 5962

Auto

24.4 34%

Teleop

26.8 37%

Endgame

21.5 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9710, 10254, 8013

/ 100 compat

Projected

345.7 pts

~2.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9710, 10254, 8013

Auto

82.0 25%

Teleop

184.3 57%

Endgame

58.7 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score89.7pts

Blue projected score345.7pts

Red win probability4%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -256
Score range: 27–409
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 444 vs event baseline 347.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

455.4Season APEX504.5

24.4Auto82

26.8Teleop184.3

21.5Endgame58.7

42Consistency154

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	108
teleop	52	168
endgame	5	31
foul	5	35
total	102	342

Result

Final score

102 – 342

Prediction correct · off by 8 pts