Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

441.32 – 200.45

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

489 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 90.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 542.1 ±9.8

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 191.1Rank 5Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 71.77Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 178.45Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 376.6 ±10.4

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 76.84Rank 11Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1119Pup Cups

Season APEX 109.8Event APEX 38.09Rank 24Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 85.52Rank 9Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1153, 4761, 2877

/ 100 compat

Projected

441.3 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1153, 4761, 2877

Auto

67.4 15%

Teleop

258.1 57%

Endgame

130.2 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2079, 1119, 61

/ 100 compat

Projected

200.5 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2079, 1119, 61

Auto

30.6 16%

Teleop

108.2 58%

Endgame

47.6 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 28%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.7 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score441.3pts

Blue projected score200.5pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 28%, blue 27%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 240.9
Score range: 138–503
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 822 vs event baseline 345.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

542.1Season APEX376.6

67.4Auto30.6

258.1Teleop108.2

130.2Endgame47.6

105Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	37
teleop	307	200
endgame	119	96
foul	5	0
total	489	333

Result

Final score

489 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 90.1 pts