Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

461.92 – 350.59

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

427 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 62.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 693.9 ±9.3

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 45.58Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 240.85Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 175.49Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 571.3 ±8.8

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 53.37Rank 18Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 129.47Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 167.75Rank 7Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2876, 88, 5000

/ 100 compat

Projected

461.9 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2876, 88, 5000

Auto

106.7 24%

Teleop

246.1 54%

Endgame

100.1 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4905, 4909, 9644

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.6 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4905, 4909, 9644

Auto

78.0 23%

Teleop

172.2 51%

Endgame

86.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 26%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.27 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score461.9pts

Blue projected score350.6pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 26%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 111.3
Score range: 288–525
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 688 vs event baseline 349.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

693.9Season APEX571.3

106.7Auto78

246.1Teleop172.2

100.1Endgame86.8

88Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	107	62
teleop	218	129
endgame	87	70
foul	15	0
total	427	261

Result

Final score

427 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 62.3 pts