Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

607.72 – 472.87

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

623 – 414

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 749.1 ±10.2

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 324.75Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 19.64Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 263.33Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 693.9 ±9.3

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 48.87Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 245.57Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 178.43Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6328, 8626, 125

/ 100 compat

Projected

607.7 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6328, 8626, 125

Auto

149.3 25%

Teleop

349.2 58%

Endgame

105.9 18%

Strengths

· 6328 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2876, 88, 5000

/ 100 compat

Projected

472.9 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2876, 88, 5000

Auto

99.7 22%

Teleop

258.7 56%

Endgame

103.0 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score607.7pts

Blue projected score472.9pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 134.9
Score range: 411–670
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1037 vs event baseline 345.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

749.1Season APEX693.9

149.3Auto99.7

349.2Teleop258.7

105.9Endgame103

62Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	139	130
teleop	374	190
endgame	110	94
foul	0	0
total	623	414

Result

Final score

623 – 414

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts