Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

291.46 – 194.69

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

533 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 158.6 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 597.2 ±9.8

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 128.29Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 89.17Rank 5Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 74Rank 11Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 451 ±9.8

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 74Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4311Swampscott Currents

Season APEX 149.7Event APEX 128.29Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX -7.6Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 88, 1153, 2079

/ 100 compat

Projected

291.5 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 88, 1153, 2079

Auto

55.1 19%

Teleop

158.4 55%

Endgame

74.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4761, 4311, 6201

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.7 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4761, 4311, 6201

Auto

57.7 30%

Teleop

103.5 54%

Endgame

30.4 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.36 · Blue 1.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score291.5pts

Blue projected score194.7pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 32%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 96.8
Score range: 144–342
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 652 vs event baseline 281.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

597.2Season APEX451

55.1Auto57.7

158.4Teleop103.5

74.7Endgame30.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	83	9
teleop	274	46
endgame	161	64
foul	15	0
total	533	119

Result

Final score

533 – 119

Prediction correct · off by 158.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree