Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

302.89 – 186.39

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

290 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 26.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 488.2 ±9.8

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 171.7Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11483Red Line Robotics

Season APEX 110.8Event APEX 3.09Rank 21Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8013Boston Lions

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 128.1Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 382.7 ±10.4

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 39.73Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 56.88Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 89.78Rank 23Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2877, 11483, 8013

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.9 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2877, 11483, 8013

Auto

68.2 23%

Teleop

179.6 60%

Endgame

50.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2876, 5962, 1100

/ 100 compat

Projected

186.4 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2876, 5962, 1100

Auto

52.2 27%

Teleop

107.6 56%

Endgame

33.4 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 23%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score302.9pts

Blue projected score186.4pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 23%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 116.5
Score range: 122–367
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 436 vs event baseline 356.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

488.2Season APEX382.7

68.2Auto52.2

179.6Teleop107.6

50Endgame33.4

131Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	36
teleop	203	86
endgame	44	24
foul	0	0
total	290	146

Result

Final score

290 – 146

Prediction correct · off by 26.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree