Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

277.96 – 402.64

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

197 – 449

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 439.1 ±9.8

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 164.2Rank 7Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10973Sea Raiders

Season APEX 155.2Event APEX 78.47Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1119Pup Cups

Season APEX 109.8Event APEX 35.29Rank 24Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 646.9 ±9.8

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 48.89Rank 18Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4311Swampscott Currents

Season APEX 149.7Event APEX 117.15Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 236.6Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9644, 10973, 1119

/ 100 compat

Projected

278 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9644, 10973, 1119

Auto

39.3 14%

Teleop

140.3 52%

Endgame

92.4 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4905, 4311, 88

/ 100 compat

Projected

402.6 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4905, 4311, 88

Auto

76.4 19%

Teleop

217.6 55%

Endgame

99.5 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 24%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.04 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score278pts

Blue projected score402.6pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 24%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -124.7
Score range: 214–467
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 646 vs event baseline 356.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

439.1Season APEX646.9

39.3Auto76.4

140.3Teleop217.6

92.4Endgame99.5

90Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	87
teleop	126	269
endgame	27	83
foul	0	10
total	197	449

Result

Final score

197 – 449

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree