Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

163.86 – 290.43

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

293 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 85.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.6 ±9.4

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 26.99Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 56.39Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 80.48Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 431.4 ±10.4

10973Sea Raiders

Season APEX 155.2Event APEX 85.62Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8013Boston Lions

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 112.87Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4311Swampscott Currents

Season APEX 149.7Event APEX 91.94Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2876, 4761, 4909

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.9 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2876, 4761, 4909

Auto

31.2 18%

Teleop

90.6 53%

Endgame

50.6 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10973, 8013, 4311

/ 100 compat

Projected

290.4 pts

~2.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 10973, 8013, 4311

Auto

27.3 9%

Teleop

171.7 59%

Endgame

91.6 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 20%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score163.9pts

Blue projected score290.4pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 20%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -126.6
Score range: 103–351
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 625 vs event baseline 339.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

406.6Season APEX431.4

31.2Auto27.3

90.6Teleop171.7

50.6Endgame91.6

46Consistency69

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	25
teleop	187	194
endgame	59	113
foul	0	0
total	293	332

Result

Final score

293 – 332

Prediction correct · off by 85.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree