Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

424.79 – 191.33

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

586 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 115.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 747.4 ±8.1

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 14.06Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 247.37Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 163.36Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 408.2 ±10.4

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 50.32Rank 16Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 85.51Rank 23Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1119Pup Cups

Season APEX 109.8Event APEX 55.5Rank 24Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6201, 125, 2877

/ 100 compat

Projected

424.8 pts

~2.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6201, 125, 2877

Auto

74.9 19%

Teleop

232.2 58%

Endgame

94.0 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5422, 1100, 1119

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.3 pts

~0.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5422, 1100, 1119

Auto

41.6 22%

Teleop

134.1 72%

Endgame

10.6 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 29%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.68 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score424.8pts

Blue projected score191.3pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 29%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 233.5
Score range: 130–486
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 708 vs event baseline 338.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

747.4Season APEX408.2

74.9Auto41.6

232.2Teleop134.1

94Endgame10.6

38Consistency90

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	119	34
teleop	347	46
endgame	110	42
foul	10	0
total	586	122

Result

Final score

586 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 115.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree