Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

453.94 – 174.74

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

515 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 520 ±9.3

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 85.72Rank 9Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 138.35Rank 7Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 229.87Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 428.8 ±11.7

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 35.75Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

20794H ALARM Robotics

Season APEX 180.7Event APEX 78.37Rank 11Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 60.62Rank 17Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 61, 9644, 88

/ 100 compat

Projected

453.9 pts

~2.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 61, 9644, 88

Auto

108.1 25%

Teleop

222.2 51%

Endgame

102.5 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8626, 2079, 5962

/ 100 compat

Projected

174.7 pts

~0.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8626, 2079, 5962

Auto

37.5 21%

Teleop

88.7 49%

Endgame

55.4 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 32%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.75 · Blue 0.54

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score453.9pts

Blue projected score174.7pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 32%, blue 14%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 279.2
Score range: 114–515
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 702 vs event baseline 338.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

520Season APEX428.8

108.1Auto37.5

222.2Teleop88.7

102.5Endgame55.4

117Consistency106

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	65
teleop	266	93
endgame	105	24
foul	45	5
total	515	187

Result

Final score

515 – 187

Prediction correct · off by 36.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree