Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

210 – 370.32

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

293 – 479

Prediction correct · off by 95.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 360.7 ±10.4

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 58.55Rank 9Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 64.66Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 86.79Rank 23Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 616.1 ±8.8

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 223.46Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 24.38Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 122.48Rank 7Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 61, 4761, 1100

/ 100 compat

Projected

210 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 61, 4761, 1100

Auto

49.6 23%

Teleop

123.0 57%

Endgame

41.6 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 125, 2876, 9644

/ 100 compat

Projected

370.3 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 125, 2876, 9644

Auto

80.9 22%

Teleop

250.4 67%

Endgame

41.8 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 25%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1 · Blue 2.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score210pts

Blue projected score370.3pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 25%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -160.3
Score range: 150–430
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 772 vs event baseline 332.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

360.7Season APEX616.1

49.6Auto80.9

123Teleop250.4

41.6Endgame41.8

86Consistency47

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	112
teleop	183	284
endgame	60	78
foul	15	5
total	293	479

Result

Final score

293 – 479

Prediction correct · off by 95.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree