Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

163.22 – 136.82

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

113 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 63.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 444.4 ±10.2

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 21.55Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 125.97Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 15.7Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.8 ±10.4

839Rosie Robotics

Season APEX 131.7Event APEX 94Rank 22Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 39.73Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11483Red Line Robotics

Season APEX 110.8Event APEX 3.09Rank 21Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6201, 4909, 8626

/ 100 compat

Projected

163.2 pts

~1.6 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6201, 4909, 8626

Auto

53.0 36%

Teleop

37.4 26%

Endgame

55.3 38%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 839, 2876, 11483

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.8 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 839, 2876, 11483

Auto

29.1 23%

Teleop

79.7 63%

Endgame

17.1 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.63 · Blue 1.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score163.2pts

Blue projected score136.8pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 26.4
Score range: 73–227
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 173 vs event baseline 356.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

444.4Season APEX354.8

53Auto29.1

37.4Teleop79.7

55.3Endgame17.1

35Consistency83

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	11
teleop	40	25
endgame	21	9
foul	0	15
total	113	60

Result

Final score

113 – 60

Prediction correct · off by 63.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree