Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

374.26 – 376.8

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

331 – 551

Prediction correct · off by 108.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 532.8 ±11.2

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 232.74Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 54.29Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10973Sea Raiders

Season APEX 155.2Event APEX 87.23Rank 19Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 638.3 ±8.8

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 70.95Rank 12Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 140.17Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 165.68Rank 5Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 88, 8626, 10973

/ 100 compat

Projected

374.3 pts

~1.5 RP (offseason)

Teams: 88, 8626, 10973

Auto

65.2 18%

Teleop

194.2 53%

Endgame

104.2 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4909, 5000, 1153

/ 100 compat

Projected

376.8 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4909, 5000, 1153

Auto

59.7 16%

Teleop

179.1 47%

Endgame

139.9 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 17%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score374.3pts

Blue projected score376.8pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -2.5
Score range: 313–438
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 882 vs event baseline 337.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

532.8Season APEX638.3

65.2Auto59.7

194.2Teleop179.1

104.2Endgame139.9

143Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	117
teleop	139	273
endgame	125	161
foul	5	0
total	331	551

Result

Final score

331 – 551

Prediction correct · off by 108.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree