Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

139.2 – 227.28

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

79 – 446

Prediction correct · off by 139.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 513.2 ±9.8

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 47.15Rank 25Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 8.67Rank 14Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 83.38Rank 18Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 559.5 ±9.3

9644NEIA Robotics

Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 51.49Rank 7Record 4-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 145.25Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4761The Robockets

Season APEX 134.5Event APEX 30.54Rank 15Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9710, 6201, 4905

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.2 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9710, 6201, 4905

Auto

45.7 35%

Teleop

29.8 23%

Endgame

54.5 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9644, 2877, 4761

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.3 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 9644, 2877, 4761

Auto

34.0 15%

Teleop

107.5 46%

Endgame

90.0 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 30%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.96 · Blue 2.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score139.2pts

Blue projected score227.3pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 30%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 25%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.1
Score range: 79–287
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 525 vs event baseline 333.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

513.2Season APEX559.5

45.7Auto34

29.8Teleop107.5

54.5Endgame90

109Consistency177

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	82
teleop	37	287
endgame	21	77
foul	0	0
total	79	446

Result

Final score

79 – 446

Prediction correct · off by 139.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree