Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

196.15 – 213.44

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

201 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 69.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 353.6 ±11.7

4311Swampscott Currents

Season APEX 149.7Event APEX 84.2Rank 10Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 77.82Rank 9Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 34.13Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 646.6 ±9.8

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 68.83Rank 16Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 96.39Rank 4Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 48.22Rank 18Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4311, 61, 8626

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.1 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4311, 61, 8626

Auto

30.6 16%

Teleop

105.6 54%

Endgame

60.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5422, 2877, 4905

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.4 pts

~1.7 RP (offseason)

Teams: 5422, 2877, 4905

Auto

47.8 25%

Teleop

148.9 76%

Endgame

-1.6 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.45 · Blue 1.69

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score196.1pts

Blue projected score213.4pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.3
Score range: 139–270
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 548 vs event baseline 316.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

353.6Season APEX646.6

30.6Auto47.8

105.6Teleop148.9

60Endgame-1.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	52
teleop	125	197
endgame	40	98
foul	5	0
total	201	347

Result

Final score

201 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 69.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree