Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

396.87 – 369.83

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

372 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 369.3 ±10.4

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 176.54Rank 5Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8013Boston Lions

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 128.1Rank 6Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

61BVT Robotics

Season APEX 86.1Event APEX 92.23Rank 9Record 3-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 578.8 ±9.4

1100Inverse Polarity

Season APEX 140.1Event APEX 89.78Rank 23Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9710Discovery Polybotz

Season APEX 109Event APEX 17.09Rank 25Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 262.96Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1153, 8013, 61

/ 100 compat

Projected

396.9 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1153, 8013, 61

Auto

56.6 15%

Teleop

214.1 55%

Endgame

117.0 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1100, 9710, 125

/ 100 compat

Projected

369.8 pts

~1.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1100, 9710, 125

Auto

97.1 26%

Teleop

225.6 60%

Endgame

53.3 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 30%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.03 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score396.9pts

Blue projected score369.8pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 30%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27
Score range: 306–461
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 705 vs event baseline 356.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

369.3Season APEX578.8

56.6Auto97.1

214.1Teleop225.6

117Endgame53.3

134Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	93
teleop	205	198
endgame	119	42
foul	0	0
total	372	333

Result

Final score

372 – 333

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree