Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

599.57 – 464.76

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

608 – 327

Prediction correct · off by 73.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 749.1 ±10.2

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 321.49Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 15.47Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 262.61Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 693.9 ±9.3

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 45.7Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 242.55Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 176.51Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6328, 8626, 125

/ 100 compat

Projected

599.6 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6328, 8626, 125

Auto

148.8 25%

Teleop

340.4 57%

Endgame

108.0 18%

Strengths

· 6328 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2876, 88, 5000

/ 100 compat

Projected

464.8 pts

~1.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2876, 88, 5000

Auto

109.3 24%

Teleop

246.4 54%

Endgame

97.3 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.28 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score599.6pts

Blue projected score464.8pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 134.8
Score range: 401–664
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 935 vs event baseline 353.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

749.1Season APEX693.9

148.8Auto109.3

340.4Teleop246.4

108Endgame97.3

76Consistency103

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	157	119
teleop	323	163
endgame	128	40
foul	0	5
total	608	327

Result

Final score

608 – 327

Prediction correct · off by 73.1 pts