Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

611.36 – 456.75

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

546 – 507

Prediction correct · off by 57.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 749.1 ±10.2

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 325.66Rank 1Record 6-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8626Cyber Sailors

Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 19.74Rank 26Record 1-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 265.96Rank 3Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 693.9 ±9.3

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 43.57Rank 20Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 239.46Rank 2Record 5-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5000HAMMERHEADS

A+

Season APEX 321.8Event APEX 173.72Rank 13Record 2-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6328, 8626, 125

/ 100 compat

Projected

611.4 pts

~2.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 6328, 8626, 125

Auto

147.0 24%

Teleop

355.0 58%

Endgame

106.4 17%

Strengths

· 6328 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2876, 88, 5000

/ 100 compat

Projected

456.8 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2876, 88, 5000

Auto

106.9 24%

Teleop

241.6 54%

Endgame

97.9 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score611.4pts

Blue projected score456.8pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample82alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 26%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 154.6
Score range: 394–674
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 1053 vs event baseline 349.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

749.1Season APEX693.9

147Auto106.9

355Teleop241.6

106.4Endgame97.9

69Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	158	123
teleop	273	270
endgame	115	94
foul	0	20
total	546	507

Result

Final score

546 – 507

Prediction correct · off by 57.8 pts