Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
478.31 – 332.08
86%14%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
613 – 420
Prediction correct · off by 111.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 701.8 ±8.8
Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 271.71Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 47.97Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 158.63Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 408.7 ±9.4
Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 116.24Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 94.9Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 120.94Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 125, 2876, 88
83
/ 100 compatProjected
478.3 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 125, 2876, 88
Auto
117.9 25%
Teleop
261.1 55%
Endgame
98.5 21%
Strengths
- · 125 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8013, 3323, 4909
84
/ 100 compatProjected
332.1 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8013, 3323, 4909
Auto
53.9 17%
Teleop
174.2 56%
Endgame
83.7 27%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 1.04
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score478.3pts
Blue projected score332.1pts
Red win probability86%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 71%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 146.2
- Score range
- 290–520
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
701.8Season APEX408.7
117.9Auto53.9
261.1Teleop174.2
98.5Endgame83.7
26Consistency127
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 130 | 35 |
| teleop | 325 | 202 |
| endgame | 153 | 158 |
| foul | 5 | 25 |
| total | 613 | 420 |
Result
Final score
613 – 420
Prediction correct · off by 111.3 pts
Match videos
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