Playoff · Playoff Match 13 R5
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
407.62 – 356.31
65%35%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
446 – 379
Prediction correct · off by 30.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 618.2 ±10.2
Season APEX 117.8Event APEX 60.26Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 158.65Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 188.71Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 408.7 ±9.4
Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 124.69Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 102.63Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 128.99Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8626, 190, 2877
85
/ 100 compatProjected
407.6 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8626, 190, 2877
Auto
74.8 18%
Teleop
236.5 58%
Endgame
93.5 23%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8013, 3323, 4909
85
/ 100 compatProjected
356.3 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 8013, 3323, 4909
Auto
56.6 17%
Teleop
185.9 55%
Endgame
93.2 28%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score407.6pts
Blue projected score356.3pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 70%, blue 71%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 51.3
- Score range
- 313–451
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
618.2Season APEX408.7
74.8Auto56.6
236.5Teleop185.9
93.5Endgame93.2
86Consistency99
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 112 | 64 |
| teleop | 204 | 169 |
| endgame | 130 | 146 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 446 | 379 |
Result
Final score
446 – 379
Prediction correct · off by 30.5 pts
Match videos
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