Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
501.67 – 405.97
77%23%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
547 – 424
Prediction correct · off by 31.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 701.8 ±8.8
Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 280.24Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 55.72Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 165.71Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 626.2 ±8.8
Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 60.48Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 157.56Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 187.93Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 125, 2876, 88
83
/ 100 compatProjected
501.7 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 125, 2876, 88
Auto
120.3 24%
Teleop
272.3 54%
Endgame
107.5 21%
Strengths
- · 125 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 151, 190, 2877
86
/ 100 compatProjected
406 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 151, 190, 2877
Auto
73.9 18%
Teleop
225.9 56%
Endgame
104.0 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 1.25
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score501.7pts
Blue projected score406pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 67%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 95.7
- Score range
- 363–545
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
701.8Season APEX626.2
120.3Auto73.9
272.3Teleop225.9
107.5Endgame104
20Consistency84
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 118 | 79 |
| teleop | 292 | 201 |
| endgame | 132 | 144 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 547 | 424 |
Result
Final score
547 – 424
Prediction correct · off by 31.7 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.