Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

121.71 – 257.93

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

139 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 360 ±11.2

6201The Highlanders

Season APEX 166.8Event APEX 37.59Rank 29Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5563Phalanx

Season APEX 80.9Event APEX 44.03Rank 37Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 40.09Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 349.9 ±11.7

10912Dragons

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 37.64Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4311Swampscott Currents

Season APEX 149.7Event APEX 102.34Rank 9Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

8013Boston Lions

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 117.95Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6201, 5563, 2876

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 6201, 5563, 2876

Auto

16.1 13%

Teleop

55.3 46%

Endgame

49.4 41%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10912, 4311, 8013

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 10912, 4311, 8013

Auto

51.0 21%

Teleop

142.3 58%

Endgame

53.0 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score121.7pts

Blue projected score257.9pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -136.2
Score range: 80–300
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 350 vs event baseline 230.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

360Season APEX349.9

16.1Auto51

55.3Teleop142.3

49.4Endgame53

40Consistency78

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	61
teleop	64	103
endgame	46	32
foul	0	15
total	139	211

Result

Final score

139 – 211

Prediction correct · off by 32.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.