Qualification · Qualification 71
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
298.69 – 133.49
89%11%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
305 – 126
Prediction correct · off by 6.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 410.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 197.37Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 61.32Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 40Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263.5 ±12.8
Season APEX 87.1Event APEX 54.21Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 56.88Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77Event APEX 22.4Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2877, 501, 4572
73
/ 100 compatProjected
298.7 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2877, 501, 4572
Auto
40.3 14%
Teleop
188.1 64%
Endgame
66.2 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2084, 246, 3958
46
/ 100 compatProjected
133.5 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2084, 246, 3958
Auto
33.7 27%
Teleop
49.2 40%
Endgame
41.2 33%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.58 · Blue 1.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score298.7pts
Blue projected score133.5pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 73%, blue 77%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 165.2
- Score range
- 91–341
- Upset likelihood
- 11%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
410.1Season APEX263.5
40.3Auto33.7
188.1Teleop49.2
66.2Endgame41.2
57Consistency56
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 62 | 12 |
| teleop | 164 | 69 |
| endgame | 74 | 45 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 305 | 126 |
Result
Final score
305 – 126
Prediction correct · off by 6.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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