Skip to content
Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

298.69133.49

89%11%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

305126

Prediction correct · off by 6.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 410.1 ±10.5
Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 197.37Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 61.32Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 40Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263.5 ±12.8
Season APEX 87.1Event APEX 54.21Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 99.4Event APEX 56.88Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 77Event APEX 22.4Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2877, 501, 4572
73
/ 100 compat
Projected
298.7 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 2877, 501, 4572
Auto
40.3 14%
Teleop
188.1 64%
Endgame
66.2 22%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2084, 246, 3958
46
/ 100 compat
Projected
133.5 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 2084, 246, 3958
Auto
33.7 27%
Teleop
49.2 40%
Endgame
41.2 33%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 73%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.58 · Blue 1.07
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score298.7pts
Blue projected score133.5pts
Red win probability89%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 73%, blue 77%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
165.2
Score range
91341
Upset likelihood
11%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 431 vs event baseline 230.9.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

410.1Season APEX263.5
40.3Auto33.7
188.1Teleop49.2
66.2Endgame41.2
57Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto6212
teleop16469
endgame7445
foul50
total305126

Result

Final score

305126

Prediction correct · off by 6.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.