Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

279.28 – 350.3

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

245 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 19.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 415.7 ±9.4

2423The KwarQs

Season APEX 133.5Event APEX 58.03Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 98.02Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 123.23Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 483.7 ±10

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 162.72Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1277The Robotomies

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 54.95Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 132.63Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2423, 3323, 4909

/ 100 compat

Projected

279.3 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2423, 3323, 4909

Auto

55.1 21%

Teleop

140.8 53%

Endgame

71.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 190, 1277, 1153

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 190, 1277, 1153

Auto

62.5 18%

Teleop

206.3 60%

Endgame

73.6 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.4 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score279.3pts

Blue projected score350.3pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -71
Score range: 238–391
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 600 vs event baseline 229.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

415.7Season APEX483.7

55.1Auto62.5

140.8Teleop206.3

71.1Endgame73.6

103Consistency28

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	86
teleop	131	170
endgame	57	94
foul	5	5
total	245	355

Result

Final score

245 – 355

Prediction correct · off by 19.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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