Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

170.29 – 547.64

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

232 – 472

Prediction correct · off by 68.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 287.4 ±12.8

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 87.67Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5491Hard Reset

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 38.51Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2084Robots by the C

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX 44.11Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 754.2 ±7.5

5813Morpheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 155.56Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 128Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 264.08Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3323, 5491, 2084

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 3323, 5491, 2084

Auto

28.4 17%

Teleop

81.6 50%

Endgame

53.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5813, 4909, 125

/ 100 compat

Projected

547.6 pts

~2.9 RP (district)

Teams: 5813, 4909, 125

Auto

112.7 21%

Teleop

299.2 56%

Endgame

121.8 23%

Strengths

· 125 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score170.3pts

Blue projected score547.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 75%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 18%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -377.3
Score range: 128–590
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 704 vs event baseline 232.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

287.4Season APEX754.2

28.4Auto112.7

81.6Teleop299.2

53.6Endgame121.8

76Consistency114

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	126
teleop	118	237
endgame	84	104
foul	15	5
total	232	472

Result

Final score

232 – 472

Prediction correct · off by 68.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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