Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

250.71 – 249.65

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

296 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 548.4 ±9.8

2713Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 272.1Event APEX 149.99Rank 12Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 37.91Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8709Pathfinder Tech

Season APEX 146Event APEX 62.81Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 431.1 ±11.7

4572Barlow Robotics

Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 34.6Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 176.31Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5563Phalanx

Season APEX 80.9Event APEX 38.74Rank 37Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2713, 5962, 8709

/ 100 compat

Projected

250.7 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2713, 5962, 8709

Auto

44.0 18%

Teleop

145.6 58%

Endgame

60.4 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4572, 88, 5563

/ 100 compat

Projected

249.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 4572, 88, 5563

Auto

56.6 23%

Teleop

134.4 54%

Endgame

57.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.9 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score250.7pts

Blue projected score249.7pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 76%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 1.1
Score range: 208–293
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 547 vs event baseline 232.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

548.4Season APEX431.1

44Auto56.6

145.6Teleop134.4

60.4Endgame57.9

58Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	56
teleop	207	154
endgame	38	31
foul	0	10
total	296	251

Result

Final score

296 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.