Qualification · Qualification 59
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
184.16 – 137.78
64%36%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
212 – 158
Prediction correct · off by 24 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 279.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 52.68Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 118.28Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 13.2Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 265.1 ±11.6
Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 51.41Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 54.1Event APEX 32.01Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 133.5Event APEX 54.36Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 501, 8013, 10156
53
/ 100 compatProjected
184.2 pts
~2.1 RP (district)
Teams: 501, 8013, 10156
Auto
30.3 17%
Teleop
109.9 62%
Endgame
38.4 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 72%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1277, 8023, 2423
49
/ 100 compatProjected
137.8 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 1277, 8023, 2423
Auto
30.4 23%
Teleop
68.8 53%
Endgame
31.7 24%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 72%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score184.2pts
Blue projected score137.8pts
Red win probability64%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 72%, blue 72%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 46.4
- Score range
- 96–226
- Upset likelihood
- 36%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
279.2Season APEX265.1
30.3Auto30.4
109.9Teleop68.8
38.4Endgame31.7
57Consistency53
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 43 | 62 |
| teleop | 109 | 76 |
| endgame | 60 | 15 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 212 | 158 |
Result
Final score
212 – 158
Prediction correct · off by 24 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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