Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

72.15 – 339.12

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

137 – 338

Prediction correct · off by 33 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 271.2 ±12.2

2423The KwarQs

Season APEX 133.5Event APEX 39.02Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5563Phalanx

Season APEX 80.9Event APEX 36.04Rank 37Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5735Control Freaks

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX -2.91Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 451 ±9.8

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 194.17Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 88.85Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 56.1Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2423, 5563, 5735

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 2423, 5563, 5735

Auto

30.2 48%

Teleop

16.3 26%

Endgame

16.6 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 88, 3323, 501

/ 100 compat

Projected

339.1 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 88, 3323, 501

Auto

60.6 18%

Teleop

208.4 61%

Endgame

71.3 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score72.2pts

Blue projected score339.1pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 70%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -267
Score range: 30–381
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 475 vs event baseline 232.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

271.2Season APEX451

30.2Auto60.6

16.3Teleop208.4

16.6Endgame71.3

53Consistency89

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	33	60
teleop	73	210
endgame	26	68
foul	5	0
total	137	338

Result

Final score

137 – 338

Prediction correct · off by 33 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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