Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

160.78 – 270.27

20%80%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

27 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 71 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.7 ±11.6

5459Ipswich TIGERS

Season APEX 98.1Event APEX 71.37Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5735Control Freaks

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 13.69Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 75.72Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430.2 ±10.7

6731Record Robotics

Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 44.44Rank 22Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4572Barlow Robotics

Season APEX 90.4Event APEX 57.05Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 168.78Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5459, 5735, 501

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 5459, 5735, 501

Auto

31.7 20%

Teleop

89.3 57%

Endgame

34.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6731, 4572, 190

/ 100 compat

Projected

270.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6731, 4572, 190

Auto

51.9 19%

Teleop

153.3 57%

Endgame

62.9 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 68%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score160.8pts

Blue projected score270.3pts

Red win probability20%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 68%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -109.5
Score range: 120–311
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 289 vs event baseline 228.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223.7Season APEX430.2

31.7Auto51.9

89.3Teleop153.3

34.5Endgame62.9

65Consistency126

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	63
teleop	11	135
endgame	0	64
foul	0	0
total	27	262

Result

Final score

27 – 262

Prediction correct · off by 71 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.