Qualification · Qualification 41

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

390.46 – 355.4

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

269 – 418

Prediction missed · off by 92 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 556.7 ±8.8

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 194.16Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4909Bionics

Season APEX 159.8Event APEX 130.7Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8709Pathfinder Tech

Season APEX 146Event APEX 65.6Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 510.8 ±9.4

501The PowerKnights

Season APEX 68.8Event APEX 64.01Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 41.44Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 249.95Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2877, 4909, 8709

/ 100 compat

Projected

390.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 2877, 4909, 8709

Auto

61.5 16%

Teleop

249.4 64%

Endgame

81.4 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 501, 2876, 125

/ 100 compat

Projected

355.4 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 501, 2876, 125

Auto

61.7 17%

Teleop

206.5 58%

Endgame

89.8 25%

Strengths

· 125 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score390.5pts

Blue projected score355.4pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 13%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 35.1
Score range: 314–431
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 687 vs event baseline 229.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

556.7Season APEX510.8

61.5Auto61.7

249.4Teleop206.5

81.4Endgame89.8

81Consistency101

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	96
teleop	125	251
endgame	70	51
foul	30	20
total	269	418

Result

Final score

269 – 418

Prediction missed · off by 92 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.