Qualification · Qualification 4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
283.67 – 242.87
62%38%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
271 – 175
Prediction correct · off by 40.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 491.8 ±10.8
Season APEX 87.1Event APEX 50.56Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 155.2Event APEX 71.89Rank 4Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 161.22Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 342.6 ±11
Season APEX 90.3Event APEX 54.04Rank 22Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 125.23Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 63.6Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2084, 10973, 190
73
/ 100 compatProjected
283.7 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 2084, 10973, 190
Auto
62.1 23%
Teleop
136.8 50%
Endgame
74.5 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6731, 8013, 151
65
/ 100 compatProjected
242.9 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 6731, 8013, 151
Auto
50.1 21%
Teleop
113.7 48%
Endgame
73.0 31%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 69%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 1.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score283.7pts
Blue projected score242.9pts
Red win probability62%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 69%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 40.8
- Score range
- 198–329
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
491.8Season APEX342.6
62.1Auto50.1
136.8Teleop113.7
74.5Endgame73
73Consistency81
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 82 | 26 |
| teleop | 92 | 107 |
| endgame | 67 | 42 |
| foul | 30 | 0 |
| total | 271 | 175 |
Result
Final score
271 – 175
Prediction correct · off by 40.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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