Qualification · Qualification 38

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

335.95 – 124.21

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

270 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 100.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 506.3 ±9.4

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 45.13Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

190Gompei and the HERD

Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 169.91Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8013Boston Lions

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 120.91Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 474.6 ±11.2

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 76.59Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10156Marshy Machines

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX -6.48Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

131CHAOS

Season APEX 268.3Event APEX 54.1Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5962, 190, 8013

/ 100 compat

Projected

336 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5962, 190, 8013

Auto

69.4 21%

Teleop

171.1 52%

Endgame

86.4 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3323, 10156, 131

/ 100 compat

Projected

124.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3323, 10156, 131

Auto

25.0 21%

Teleop

83.2 68%

Endgame

13.7 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 70%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.64 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score336pts

Blue projected score124.2pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 70%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 211.7
Score range: 82–378
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 529 vs event baseline 235.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

506.3Season APEX474.6

69.4Auto25

171.1Teleop83.2

86.4Endgame13.7

163Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	49
teleop	164	126
endgame	39	79
foul	0	5
total	270	259

Result

Final score

270 – 259

Prediction correct · off by 100.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.