Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

274.59 – 328.02

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

304 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 24.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 443.8 ±12.4

2084Robots by the C

Season APEX 87.1Event APEX 38.17Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4048Redshift

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 47.54Rank 27Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2877LigerBots

Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 188.88Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 487 ±10.5

4311Swampscott Currents

Season APEX 149.7Event APEX 86.4Rank 9Record 7-4-1Status establishedConfidence 100

1277The Robotomies

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 58.71Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

88TJ²

Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 182.91Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2084, 4048, 2877

/ 100 compat

Projected

274.6 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 2084, 4048, 2877

Auto

36.8 14%

Teleop

153.1 58%

Endgame

74.9 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4311, 1277, 88

/ 100 compat

Projected

328 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4311, 1277, 88

Auto

67.0 21%

Teleop

200.5 61%

Endgame

58.8 18%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.45 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score274.6pts

Blue projected score328pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -53.4
Score range: 233–370
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 651 vs event baseline 232.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

443.8Season APEX487

36.8Auto67

153.1Teleop200.5

74.9Endgame58.8

37Consistency82

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	77
teleop	156	183
endgame	109	82
foul	0	5
total	304	347

Result

Final score

304 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 24.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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