Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

187.82 – 154.54

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

296 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 115.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 510.2 ±9.8

151Tough Techs

Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 52.84Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 28.94Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2713Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 272.1Event APEX 106.04Rank 12Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 305.7 ±11

8013Boston Lions

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 83.96Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 45.16Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5735Control Freaks

Season APEX 56.8Event APEX 25.42Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 151, 2876, 2713

/ 100 compat

Projected

187.8 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 151, 2876, 2713

Auto

44.0 22%

Teleop

120.0 60%

Endgame

34.6 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8013, 3323, 5735

/ 100 compat

Projected

154.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 8013, 3323, 5735

Auto

22.9 16%

Teleop

84.2 59%

Endgame

34.9 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.97 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score187.8pts

Blue projected score154.5pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33.3
Score range: 112–231
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

High scoring

Combined score 574 vs event baseline 236.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

510.2Season APEX305.7

44Auto22.9

120Teleop84.2

34.6Endgame34.9

88Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	65	53
teleop	156	123
endgame	75	87
foul	0	15
total	296	278

Result

Final score

296 – 278

Prediction correct · off by 115.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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