Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

231.68 – 72.7

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

257 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 71.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.4 ±11.7

3958Schrodinger's Cat

Season APEX 77Event APEX 40.78Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1153Timberwolves

Season APEX 156.7Event APEX 136.16Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10912Dragons

Season APEX 73.7Event APEX 54.74Rank 30Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 285.7 ±12.2

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX -15.06Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5491Hard Reset

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 85.2Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1277The Robotomies

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 2.56Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3958, 1153, 10912

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3958, 1153, 10912

Auto

46.0 20%

Teleop

130.8 56%

Endgame

56.9 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5962, 5491, 1277

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.7 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5962, 5491, 1277

Auto

19.5 33%

Teleop

21.6 37%

Endgame

17.9 30%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 75%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.63 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score231.7pts

Blue projected score72.7pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 75%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 159
Score range: 32–273
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 447 vs event baseline 225.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.4Season APEX285.7

46Auto19.5

130.8Teleop21.6

56.9Endgame17.9

41Consistency178

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	29
teleop	125	119
endgame	72	37
foul	10	5
total	257	190

Result

Final score

257 – 190

Prediction correct · off by 71.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.