Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

234.48 – 125.52

80%20%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

355 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 111 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 659.2 ±9.3

3323Potential Energy

Season APEX 122.4Event APEX 45.21Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5813Morpheus

Season APEX 264.7Event APEX 123.89Rank 10Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

2713Red Hawk Robotics

Season APEX 272.1Event APEX 65.38Rank 12Record 6-5-1Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 335.3 ±10.4

8709Pathfinder Tech

Season APEX 146Event APEX 94.73Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3958Schrodinger's Cat

Season APEX 77Event APEX 54.01Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2876DevilBotz

Season APEX 112.3Event APEX -23.22Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3323, 5813, 2713

/ 100 compat

Projected

234.5 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3323, 5813, 2713

Auto

30.7 13%

Teleop

141.9 60%

Endgame

65.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8709, 3958, 2876

/ 100 compat

Projected

125.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8709, 3958, 2876

Auto

30.7 25%

Teleop

59.9 49%

Endgame

32.8 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score234.5pts

Blue projected score125.5pts

Red win probability80%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 73%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 109
Score range: 88–272
Upset likelihood: 20%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 582 vs event baseline 213.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

659.2Season APEX335.3

30.7Auto30.7

141.9Teleop59.9

65.6Endgame32.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	31
teleop	229	131
endgame	64	65
foul	0	0
total	355	227

Result

Final score

355 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 111 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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