Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

350.78 – 102.62

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

329 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 513.4 ±12

5491Hard Reset

Season APEX 77.9Event APEX 46.42Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4048Redshift

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 27.71Rank 27Record 5-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

125NUTRONs

A+

Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 276.65Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.3 ±13.3

1277The Robotomies

Season APEX 77.5Event APEX 44.51Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10156Marshy Machines

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 15.2Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5563Phalanx

Season APEX 80.9Event APEX 42.91Rank 37Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5491, 4048, 125

/ 100 compat

Projected

350.8 pts

~2.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5491, 4048, 125

Auto

71.3 21%

Teleop

198.0 58%

Endgame

73.0 21%

Strengths

· 125 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1277, 10156, 5563

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.6 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1277, 10156, 5563

Auto

16.5 17%

Teleop

55.1 55%

Endgame

28.0 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.76 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score350.8pts

Blue projected score102.6pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample180alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 248.2
Score range: 58–396
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 399 vs event baseline 250.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

513.4Season APEX242.3

71.3Auto16.5

198Teleop55.1

73Endgame28

55Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	69	10
teleop	165	55
endgame	70	0
foul	25	5
total	329	70

Result

Final score

329 – 70

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.