Final · Finals 3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
506.94 – 424.53
74%26%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
347 – 351
Prediction missed · off by 116.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 701.8 ±8.8
Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 281.83Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 57.87Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 167.24Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 626.2 ±8.8
Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 65.76Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 164.11Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 194.66Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 125, 2876, 88
82
/ 100 compatProjected
506.9 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 125, 2876, 88
Auto
120.5 24%
Teleop
277.8 55%
Endgame
106.5 21%
Strengths
- · 125 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 151, 190, 2877
85
/ 100 compatProjected
424.5 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 151, 190, 2877
Auto
77.6 18%
Teleop
220.7 52%
Endgame
123.3 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.29 · Blue 1.31
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score506.9pts
Blue projected score424.5pts
Red win probability74%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 67%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 82.4
- Score range
- 380–552
- Upset likelihood
- 26%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
701.8Season APEX626.2
120.5Auto77.6
277.8Teleop220.7
106.5Endgame123.3
25Consistency60
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 95 | 85 |
| teleop | 150 | 127 |
| endgame | 97 | 134 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 347 | 351 |
Result
Final score
347 – 351
Prediction missed · off by 116.7 pts
Match videos
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