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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

501.98418.5

74%26%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

549472

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 701.8 ±8.8
Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 280.2Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 56.11Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 165.67Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 626.2 ±8.8
Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 63.62Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 162.12Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 192.76Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 125, 2876, 88
83
/ 100 compat
Projected
502 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 125, 2876, 88
Auto
119.4 24%
Teleop
274.0 55%
Endgame
106.7 21%
Strengths
  • · 125 anchors offense
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 151, 190, 2877
85
/ 100 compat
Projected
418.5 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 151, 190, 2877
Auto
76.8 19%
Teleop
219.0 53%
Endgame
119.3 29%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.3 · Blue 1.31
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score502pts
Blue projected score418.5pts
Red win probability74%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 67%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
83.5
Score range
375546
Upset likelihood
26%
Data cutoff
2026-08-16
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring
Playoff

Combined score 1021 vs event baseline 246.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

701.8Season APEX626.2
119.4Auto76.8
274Teleop219
106.7Endgame119.3
25Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto12984
teleop309234
endgame106154
foul50
total549472

Result

Final score

549472

Prediction correct · off by 50.3 pts

Match videos

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