Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
507.75 – 411.2
77%23%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
462 – 466
Prediction missed · off by 50.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 701.8 ±8.8
Season APEX 329.7Event APEX 282.2Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.3Event APEX 57.83Rank 31Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 259.8Event APEX 167.72Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 626.2 ±8.8
Season APEX 125.8Event APEX 60.53Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 249.5Event APEX 160.35Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 250.9Event APEX 190.32Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 125, 2876, 88
83
/ 100 compatProjected
507.8 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 125, 2876, 88
Auto
119.9 24%
Teleop
275.3 54%
Endgame
110.5 22%
Strengths
- · 125 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 151, 190, 2877
86
/ 100 compatProjected
411.2 pts
~1.3 RP (district)
Teams: 151, 190, 2877
Auto
77.4 19%
Teleop
219.7 54%
Endgame
112.5 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 63%
Supercharged: 17%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.36 · Blue 1.25
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score507.8pts
Blue projected score411.2pts
Red win probability77%
Event bonus sample180alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 63%, blue 67%
Supercharged bonusred 17%, blue 10%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 96.6
- Score range
- 367–552
- Upset likelihood
- 23%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Match context
Upset
Close match
High scoring
Playoff
Combined score 928 vs event baseline 243.6.
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
701.8Season APEX626.2
119.9Auto77.4
275.3Teleop219.7
110.5Endgame112.5
21Consistency76
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 116 | 73 |
| teleop | 265 | 214 |
| endgame | 81 | 164 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 462 | 466 |
Result
Final score
462 – 466
Prediction missed · off by 50.3 pts
Match videos
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