Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

435.16 – 85.07

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

403 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 24.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 722.1 ±8.8

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 19.48Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 196.99Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 218.69Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 226.1 ±11.6

5902The Wire Clippers

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -4.3Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 45.05Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 44.32Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3623, 6328, 3467

/ 100 compat

Projected

435.2 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3623, 6328, 3467

Auto

86.5 20%

Teleop

230.1 54%

Endgame

108.5 26%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5902, 175, 157

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5902, 175, 157

Auto

18.5 24%

Teleop

34.6 45%

Endgame

23.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score435.2pts

Blue projected score85.1pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 350.1
Score range: 59–461
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 472 vs event baseline 142.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

722.1Season APEX226.1

86.5Auto18.5

230.1Teleop34.6

108.5Endgame23.8

0Consistency24

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	30
teleop	268	21
endgame	88	18
foul	0	0
total	403	69

Result

Final score

403 – 69

Prediction correct · off by 24.1 pts

Match videos

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