Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

60.55 – 177.26

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 35.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 247.3 ±12.2

5347Gryphons

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 23.9Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9729Knights

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 31.13Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8708Ov3R1y K0Mp13X

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 5.52Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 343.8 ±10.4

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 36.68Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1119Pup Cups

Season APEX 109.8Event APEX 68.77Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8013Boston Lions

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 71.81Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5347, 9729, 8708

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 5347, 9729, 8708

Auto

10.9 18%

Teleop

45.1 76%

Endgame

3.2 5%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10063, 1119, 8013

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.3 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10063, 1119, 8013

Auto

17.7 10%

Teleop

91.3 53%

Endgame

62.3 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score60.6pts

Blue projected score177.3pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -116.7
Score range: 35–203
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 239 vs event baseline 143.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

247.3Season APEX343.8

10.9Auto17.7

45.1Teleop91.3

3.2Endgame62.3

46Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	21
teleop	54	86
endgame	31	35
foul	0	0
total	97	142

Result

Final score

97 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 35.9 pts

Match videos

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