Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

84.18 – 104.13

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

104 – 84

Prediction missed · off by 20 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 226.1 ±11.6

5902The Wire Clippers

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -3.98Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 44.57Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

157AZTECHS

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 43.59Rank 11Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 447 ±10.4

1071Team MAX

Season APEX 105Event APEX 37.83Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4905Andromeda One

Season APEX 237.4Event APEX 33.88Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3566Gone Fishin'

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 32.42Rank 10Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5902, 175, 157

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 5902, 175, 157

Auto

16.1 22%

Teleop

35.2 48%

Endgame

22.8 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1071, 4905, 3566

/ 100 compat

Projected

104.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1071, 4905, 3566

Auto

28.8 30%

Teleop

31.7 33%

Endgame

34.5 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.57

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score84.2pts

Blue projected score104.1pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -19.9
Score range: 58–130
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 188 vs event baseline 142.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

226.1Season APEX447

16.1Auto28.8

35.2Teleop31.7

22.8Endgame34.5

20Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	16
teleop	44	33
endgame	30	25
foul	0	10
total	104	84

Result

Final score

104 – 84

Prediction missed · off by 20 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.