Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

415.62 – 79.62

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

526 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 59.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 722.1 ±8.8

3623The Robomingos

Season APEX 82.4Event APEX 12.69Rank 25Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6328Mechanical Advantage

A+

Season APEX 301.6Event APEX 190.98Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3467Windham Windup

Season APEX 338.1Event APEX 211.95Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.1 ±13.3

3464Sim-City

Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 25.69Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

663Power Sharks

Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 44.41Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10393Foxborough High School

Season APEX 66.6Event APEX 9.52Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3623, 6328, 3467

/ 100 compat

Projected

415.6 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3623, 6328, 3467

Auto

85.2 21%

Teleop

215.7 53%

Endgame

105.0 26%

Strengths

· 3467 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3464, 663, 10393

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.6 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 3464, 663, 10393

Auto

13.2 18%

Teleop

41.9 57%

Endgame

18.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score415.6pts

Blue projected score79.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 336
Score range: 55–441
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 615 vs event baseline 139.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

722.1Season APEX217.1

85.2Auto13.2

215.7Teleop41.9

105Endgame18.2

4Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	28
teleop	297	22
endgame	124	34
foul	10	5
total	526	89

Result

Final score

526 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 59.9 pts

Match videos

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