Playoff · Playoff Match 10 R3
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
154 – 79.03
72%28%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
134 – 60
Prediction correct · off by 19.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 462.7 ±9.8
Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 74.15Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 174.1Event APEX 16.68Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 63.17Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.1 ±13.3
Season APEX 74.8Event APEX 23.76Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 45.69Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 66.6Event APEX 9.58Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5422, 9644, 5962
66
/ 100 compatProjected
154 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5422, 9644, 5962
Auto
35.3 23%
Teleop
80.6 53%
Endgame
35.0 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3464, 663, 10393
45
/ 100 compatProjected
79 pts
~0.9 RP (district)
Teams: 3464, 663, 10393
Auto
17.3 23%
Teleop
35.3 48%
Endgame
21.3 29%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.84 · Blue 0.95
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score154pts
Blue projected score79pts
Red win probability72%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 75
- Score range
- 53–180
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
462.7Season APEX217.1
35.3Auto17.3
80.6Teleop35.3
35Endgame21.3
19Consistency25
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 57 | 18 |
| teleop | 60 | 22 |
| endgame | 17 | 20 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 134 | 60 |
Result
Final score
134 – 60
Prediction correct · off by 19.5 pts
Match videos
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