Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

51.85 – 110.26

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

146 – 52

Prediction missed · off by 76.2 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 498.3 ±10

1768Nashoba Robotics

A+

Season APEX 316.5Event APEX 45.71Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 3.07Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10063S.C.R.A.P.

Season APEX 107.5Event APEX 3.07Rank 16Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254.5 ±11

2064The Panther Project

Season APEX 42Event APEX 74.57Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

175Buzz Robotics

Season APEX 117.4Event APEX 26.34Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1735Green Reapers

Season APEX 95.1Event APEX 9.35Rank 29Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1768, 6620, 10063

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 1768, 6620, 10063

Auto

1.5 3%

Teleop

34.2 70%

Endgame

13.0 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2064, 175, 1735

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 2064, 175, 1735

Auto

15.1 14%

Teleop

61.6 57%

Endgame

31.1 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.22 · Blue 1.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score51.9pts

Blue projected score110.3pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -58.4
Score range: 34–128
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 100.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

498.3Season APEX254.5

1.5Auto15.1

34.2Teleop61.6

13Endgame31.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	10
teleop	92	9
endgame	47	18
foul	5	15
total	146	52

Result

Final score

146 – 52

Prediction missed · off by 76.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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