Qualification · Qualification 56

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.11 – 123.24

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

144 – 127

Prediction missed · off by 28.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 340.8 ±11.6

6620Voltage Vikings

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 9.27Rank 17Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5347Gryphons

Season APEX 108.2Event APEX 19.77Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5422Stormgears

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 61.07Rank 9Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 300.4 ±11

8013Boston Lions

Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 70.44Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5902The Wire Clippers

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX -1.54Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5962perSEVERE

Season APEX 130.3Event APEX 54.34Rank 23Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6620, 5347, 5422

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6620, 5347, 5422

Auto

3.0 3%

Teleop

64.8 68%

Endgame

27.8 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8013, 5902, 5962

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 8013, 5902, 5962

Auto

21.2 18%

Teleop

61.1 53%

Endgame

32.9 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.31 · Blue 1.64

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score90.1pts

Blue projected score123.2pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample146alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -33.1
Score range: 65–148
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 271 vs event baseline 138.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

340.8Season APEX300.4

3Auto21.2

64.8Teleop61.1

27.8Endgame32.9

15Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	15
teleop	104	80
endgame	24	32
foul	0	0
total	144	127

Result

Final score

144 – 127

Prediction missed · off by 28.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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