Qualification · Qualification 50
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
89.12 – 119.59
41%59%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
93 – 147
Prediction correct · off by 15.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 246.3 ±11
Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 11.17Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 42Event APEX 6.54Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 126.5Event APEX 71.41Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 252.1 ±12.2
Season APEX 75.7Event APEX 33.19Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 109.8Event APEX 71.28Rank 8Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 66.6Event APEX 15.12Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8708, 2064, 8013
50
/ 100 compatProjected
89.1 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 8708, 2064, 8013
Auto
19.6 23%
Teleop
43.1 51%
Endgame
21.1 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 663, 1119, 10393
52
/ 100 compatProjected
119.6 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 663, 1119, 10393
Auto
11.2 10%
Teleop
55.6 52%
Endgame
41.0 38%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 36%
Supercharged: 4%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.23 · Blue 1.62
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score89.1pts
Blue projected score119.6pts
Red win probability41%
Event bonus sample146alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 36%, blue 38%
Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -30.5
- Score range
- 64–145
- Upset likelihood
- 41%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
246.3Season APEX252.1
19.6Auto11.2
43.1Teleop55.6
21.1Endgame41
0Consistency32
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 29 |
| teleop | 56 | 84 |
| endgame | 10 | 29 |
| foul | 5 | 5 |
| total | 93 | 147 |
Result
Final score
93 – 147
Prediction correct · off by 15.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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